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@jemoka / Jemoka Knowledge Base / wiki/concepts/bernoulli_random_variable.md
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--- title: "Bernoulli distribution" type: concept related: [Probability Mass Function, Variance, Maximum Likelihood Parameter Learning, Bernoulli Random Variable, Expectation] source: https://www.jemoka.com/posts/kbhbernoulli_random_variable/ confidence: high status: active --- Consider a case where there’s only a single binary outcome: “success”, with probability \(p\) “failure”, with probability \(1-p\) constituents \begin{equation} X \sim Bern(p) \end{equation} requirements the probability mass function: \begin{equation} P(X=k) = \begin{cases} p,\ if\ k=1\\ 1-p,\ if\ k=0\\ \end{cases} \end{equation} This is sadly not Differentiable, which is sad for Maximum Likelihood Parameter Learning. Therefore, we write: \begin{equation} P(X=k) = p^{k} (1-p)^{1-k} \end{equation} Which emulates the behavior of your function at \(0\) and \(1\) and we kinda don’t care any other place. We can use it additional information properties of Bernoulli distribution expected value: \(p\) variance: \(p(1-p)\) Bernoulli as indicator If there’s a series of event whose probability you are given, you can use a Bernoulli to model each one and add/subtract MLE for Bernouli \begin{equation} p_{MLE} = \frac{m}{n} \end{equation} \(m\) is the number of events