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@jemoka / Jemoka Knowledge Base / wiki/concepts/rejection_sampling.md
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--- title: "Rejection Sampling" type: concept related: [Failure Distribution] source: https://www.jemoka.com/posts/kbhrejection_sampling/ confidence: high status: active --- steps (coda) for some unnormalized target failure density, which is our target (and nominal trajectory \(p\qty(\tau)\)): \begin{equation} \bar{p} \qty(\tau \mid \tau \not \in \psi) = \mathbb{1}\qty {\tau \not \in \psi} p\qty(\tau) \end{equation} sample \(\tau \sim q\qty(\cdot)\) where \(q\) is the proposal distribution where you start generating your samples; you want this to be as close as you can to the target failure distribution. reject if \(cq\qty(\tau) r > \bar{p}\qty(\tau)\) first, choose a normalizing constant \(c\) which makes \begin{equation} \bar{p} \qty(\tau) \leq c q\qty(\tau) \end{equation} true. This allows us to rescale our proposal distribution to be at least as big as our target distribution. In particular keep a sample of \(\tau\) if: \begin{equation} r < \frac{\bar{p}\qty(\tau)}{cq\qty(\tau)} \end{equation} where \(c\) is a constant that makes the inequality true; \(\bar{p}\) is the not normalized density (a la a Failure Distribution). drawbacks selecting an appropriate proposal distribution \(\tau \sim q\qty(\cdot)\) is hard selecting an appropriate value for \(c\) 109’s definition Sample a ton; perform factor conditioning; then count the observation you’d like. by rejecting those who don’t match